Verbatim account of presentation

by Dr. Baverstock

 

Introduction

 

Health effects of a manmade toxin

DU oxide dust, which is formed from DU metal when a bullet or bomb hits a hardened target and burns, does not occur naturally. The material has no natural analogue. Scientists cannot compare it with anything else. One has to look at DU oxide on its own merits, or see what can be learned from what is known about the basic effects of uranium on health. Uranium is toxic like many other heavy metals. This is known from the early days of uranium processing. Workers were exposed to dust of yellowcake, which is a soluble oxide of uranium and an intermediate in the processing and purification of uranium. It is known that the workers suffered kidney problems.

Dr. Baverstock is considering the long-term problem that you might have, living in an environment that is contaminated with the dust from burnt depleted uranium (DU). The principle concern of Dr. Baverstock with this DU oxide has been the public health interest. He stresses this because there is another group than the public, the combatants, who also are exposed to DU, but much closer and in much higher concentrations. He is sure that there are health effects there, but he has not considered those.

In 2000 the WHO was preparing its monograph on the health effects of DU oxide. Dr. Baverstock  looked to see whether there would be a case that the WHO ought to investigate this DU more closely. He decided that this was the case and he invited two colleagues, Dr. Mike Thorn and Dr. Carmel Mothersill, to join him in exploring this and writing a publication. That publication is the basis for his speech and this report.

 

Damage by DU on organ level  

Uranium dust from rock is toxic to the lung

There is some experience with health effects of unprocessed natural uranium, as an insoluble oxide in rock dust, from the uranium mining industry. There is confidence that there is a degree of toxicity for this inhaled material. But the toxicity is not very great. But then, only part of this material is in fact uranium. The rest is rock of various kinds. Also, this uranium is highly insoluble, and therefore retained in the lung. Altogether there is a kind of diluted uranium, which is highly insoluble. If one looks at the lungs of diseased coal miners or uranium miners, one will find that the deep lung in particular is very heavily coated with these insoluble particles or dust. It is accepted as a hazard, but not as a tremendously serious one.

 

DU oxide dust is also toxic to the bone and the kidney

DU oxide dust, produced from depleted uranium, is quite different than the above mentioned natural uranium. This dust is a 100% depleted uranium oxide and also has a soluble component. Mostly it is not very soluble, but very slowly, sparingly soluble. This soluble part gets translated through the blood and enters the bone through the bone marrow cavities. Dr. Baverstock supposes that there is a potential for leukaemia by this process.

Eventually the DU gets to the kidney and is excreted, but that could be after quite a long period of time. Scientists understand how uranium produces damage to the kidney: uranium prevents the re-uptake of water, or slows up this re-uptake, leading to a greater amount of excretion of water.

A study by a group in Finland has found uranium in the urine of Fins who are drinking water from wells, where there is a lot of uranium in the water. The males in particular excrete something which probably has to do with bone formation. So there could be a toxic effect on bone as well and that is quite consistent with the fact that once uranium gets into the blood it gets into bone.

 

Damage by DU on the cellular level

1. Genetic damage by a-particles

A DU oxide dust particle will emit a-particles, a particular kind of radiation. This radiation has a very small penetration, but a lot of energy. An a-particle travels around 40 microns, which is only about 3 or 4 cell diameters, and releases about 5 MeV of energy. This is a very short range and a lot of energy is deposited in a very small volume. A DU particle of the size that may be retained in the lung emits an a-particle between once a week and once a month, depending on the size of the particle. Uranium has a very low specific activity. But these emissions of a-particles have an effect: chromosomal aberrations, mutations, micro-satellite damage, are examples of damage that can occur in irradiated cells.

 

2. Toxic damage by soluble depleted uranium

DU oxide dust particles are partially soluble. Soluble DU migrates very slowly through the cells away from the particles, because DU binds quite effectively to cellular constituents like protein and DNA. Micron-sized particles, deposited in the deep lung, will clear very slowly from there. The concentration of DU around the particle is transiently high due to the dissolution over a period of weeks to months during which it is transferred to the bone and then the kidney

Evidence came from the Armed Forces Radiation Research Institute (AFRRI) in Bethesda (US) indicates that there is a genotoxic effect in cells exposed both to soluble and insoluble DU. This is observed in laboratory studies and in soldiers who have fragments of DU in their bodies. In cell culture experiments soluble DU and insoluble DU oxide converted cells into a transformed state. When these cells were injected into mice they caused malignancy.

Precisely the same effect was obtained using using nickel, another heavy metal, which is not radioactive, but toxic like uranium and a well established carcinogen.

The toxic effect of uranium on the kidney is physiological; the uranium changes the structure of the kidney and causes it to misfunction.

For these reasons Dr. Baverstock thinks it is reasonable to suspect that DU has a chemical genotoxic effect too, and thinks that this effect of DU is now a well established phenomenon. Many chemicals are tested for their carcinogenicity by exactly these kind of tests. If they produce transformations in the tests, they are potentially carcinogenic.

 

3. Damage by synergism

Synergism occurs when two agents have an effect individually and a more than additive effect when present together. An example of a synergism is with radiation and smoking. The effect of the radiation and the chemical effect of the cigarette smoke produces a greater risk if the two are present together. In the case of DU the combined effect of the alpha particles and the chemical toxicity might well be more than additive. The synergistic effect may also, at least in part be a transient effect.

 

4. Toxic damage by the bystander effect

Having started out as an extreme sceptic, Dr. Baverstock came to accept the phenomenon of the so-called bystander effect several years ago. The theory is relatively new but within the last 10 years it has been well established. The bystander effect was uncovered, not discovered. If one looks back in the literature one finds a lot of earlier evidence. It could have been interpreted as the bystander effect, but the evidence was just ignored because the dogma did not allow for the effect. It was a real battle for Carmel Mothersill and Colin Seymour, to get the bystander effect accepted by the scientific community. However, it was not their experiment that led to the general acceptance of the phenomenon was carried out at Harwell.

The bystander effect takes place as follows:

If one cell is irradiated with an a-particle it is expected to see the effects of radiation in that cell, but it turns out that some of the neighbouring cells can also start to behave as if they have been irradiated. In other words, they show the typical effects of radiation, such as specific mutations. It is believed that cells send out chemical signals to their neighbours and these chemical signals induce the bystander effect.

 

In the mechanism of the bystander effect, two processes are known. One is through so-called gap junctions, connections which carry very small molecules between cells. Gap junctions are little tunnels or tubes between adjacent cells and small molecules can pass through those to induce the effect in adjacent cells. The second process is established from experiments by Carmel Mothersill. In this case cells are irradiated in growth medium and the irradiated cells filtered off and fresh cells put into the medium. One sees "radiation effects" in the fresh cells without them having been irradiated. Apparently the medium contains something which causes the bystander effect, possibly the same molecules transferred through the gap junctions.

 

The exact mechanism of the bystander effect is unknown but according to Dr. Baverstock there is growing evidence that the bystander effect is involved in a malignant response. It is not necessary to be too concerned about the mechanism. The argument is that the effects produced by the bystander effect are the same as the effects produced by ionising radiation and ionising radiation is a carcinogen. It is reasonable to assume that there is a potential risk of malignancy from the bystander effect.

 

Testing of DU poisoning

To test for DU is not simple

The metabolism of uranium through the body is a very complicated process. It is not simple to relate what comes out in urine to what went in at the during exposure as that depends many factors including the time of intake and the exact nature of the exposure. First the uranium has to dissolve from the particle in the lung, then through the blood supply be translocated to the bone, then be resorbed from the bone to the blood and pass through the kidney into urine. This pathway is very complex and the process will take several weeks to  months. In practice it is most unlikely that exposure will be a singular event so level in urine are difficult to relate to exposure, unless tests are performed sequentially over several months.

 

Quantitative test and background level

Soldiers that have been exposed to DU oxide dust should ideally be tested on their background level of U before exposure. Urine tests on the background can level still be done after a suspected exposure, eg the first week, because there has not been time for inhaled uranium to get into the urine yet. This background level can be compared with the levels later on to determine whether there has been an exposure. The urine test should also be done at intervals much later on. For sure, exposure to DU is seen in a difference in the overall level of uranium. This straight uranium test, over a period of months after the exposure, is also a good indicator of DU contamination if the level of uranium goes up with time.

 

Qualitative test

Ideally, but it might not be necessary if the exposure is high enough, soldiers should be tested for the isotopic ratio of uranium as well. DU will give rise to a different isotopic ratio between uranium 235 and 238, compared with the natural situation. From the natural sources the ratio U235/U238 is 0.0073, while DU has a value of around 0.0020. This isotopic ratio can be measured with mass spectrometry. This test is much more expensive, typically a €1000 for each measurement. The test is not tremendously sensitive.

 

ICRP models are unreliable

The ICRP works mostly with models

Calculation or estimation of radiation risks is guided by advice from the International Committee on Radiation Protection (ICRP), the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the World Health Organisation (WHO).

The ICRP has derived models relating risks to radiation dose. These models are constructed on the basis of epidemiological studies of the risk of cancer seen in the survivors of the atomic bombings in Japan even though the the exposure characteristics of internal exposure are very different from in those in Japan. Thus, radiation risks are mostly derived from models and not direct observation.

 

CERRIE report criticises ICRP models

Recently, the models of the ICRP have been criticized by a committee in the United Kingdom. The publication states that internal irradiation risks may well have an uncertainty much greater than that which the ICRP presently admits to. This might be in fact a factor of ten in either direction and in a few case much more, a tenfold underestimation or a tenfold overestimation, depending upon the situation.

In the report DU was interestingly enough not identified as one of the issues, but Dr. Baverstock thinks that this is one example where the risk is underestimated probably by the ICRP.

 

The ICRP models ignore the chemical toxicity of DU

It is a big problem that the ICRP only looks at the risks of radiation effects and ignores the risks of chemical effects. Therefore, only the contribution of the first effect, the a-particles, is dealt with, and therefore the risk of DU considered very small.

DU oxide dust is treated as if it is totally insoluble. Solubility is not considered at all, so the toxicity of the other three effects can completely be neglected.

 

The impact of such a minimal interpretation can be found for instance in climate differences and the risk from re-suspension of DU oxides in the environment. In Iraq the climate is very arid and dry, so the soluble component of the DU oxide particles in the environment do not get washed or weathered by the rain. Also DU has been found inside buildings, in Baghdad for example. Such DU particles still have their soluble component. In Dr. Baverstock's view, re-suspension is not so important in the much less arid climate of the Balkans, but is important in Iraq. An attack on a single tank might produce a few kilos of DU dust. The DU particles that have fallen to the ground become available for inhalation again and again, when blown by the wind or when vehicles pass.

 

A deliberate blind eye

The issue of independence of the official institutions has to be questioned. The ICRP, the IAEA and the WHO continue to admit only part of the risk, apparently ignoring the evidence from the work at the Armed Forces Radiation Research Institute. Radiobiological protection regulation depends on models and there has been is no attempt to update these models in the light of the new information.

What we have instead is a social judgement, that the risk in the context of the usefulness of DU is in fact an acceptable risk. This judgement is made on the behalf of those who are exposed to the risk, not on behalf of those doing the regulating, of course. It is a choice to not interpret the new information, not to include it in ones calculations.

Dr. Baverstock cannot understand why the ICRP and the IAEA in 2003 could ignore the evidence which was available in 2000 and 2001, without incorporating it into their risk assessments. The position of the ICRP has to be to address the DU problem. The ICRP has to make a full risk assessment including the chemical toxicity and the synergistic effects, because at the moment radiation is treated separately from toxicity in their models. In the case of DU, a potential effect is missed by doing that. It has to be a deliberate "blind eye", because these institutions have access to all the evidence.

 

Economical and political pressure

There are thousands to hundred of thousands of chemicals in use in modern society and very many different exposure modes to radiation and radioactiivty. Epidemiological surveys of each of these risks would not be practicable so regulation and the declaration that a chemical or exposure route to radiation or radioactivty is carcinogenic has mostly to be based on models.

There is no doubt that there is political pressure on organisations like the ICRP, IAEA and WHO. The countries hold a key to this. For example, member states tell the UN to be free and independent, but only as long as it does what is required. And that is particularly true of the UK and the US. This political pressure is always "understood", never explicit. Pressure is also applied through "wheeling and dealing". Dr. Baverstock is sure that in the case of the WHO, the then Director General, Mrs. Brundtland, was often faced with such a situation. In return for support in one aspect, the tobacco initiative for example, less attention would be given to other aspects. Often it is a conflict between economic progress and the environment. This pressure, coming from the economic side, is driving the system off its course. Politicians should give real freedom to these organisations, instead of putting pressure on them.  These institutions can only become independent if they are not pressured. He is sure that is the problem.

 

Other difficulties with proof

 

Acknowledgement of diverse symptoms

There might be a situation in the long term in an environment where DU gets re-suspended into the air. Civilians could breathe large quantities of DU oxide dust. There is no agreement that the symptoms of people who have been exposed in this way are due to DU. There is a suspicion that symptoms are there because of exposure. That is the connection, but the problem is that the symptoms are often fairly diverse. No two people have exactly the same symptoms. Very different symptoms have been claimed, especially in the case of veterans who might have been heavily exposed: excessive tiredness, skin rashes, headaches and muscular weakness. 

There is a very interesting parallel, around twenty years ago in Spain, there was something known as the toxic oil syndrome. Evidently contaminated rape seed oil was sold and some 20,000 people suffered illness, some very severe illnesses and 800 died. It was due to a toxicological response of some kind, but the toxin has never been nailed down. Even now, it is not exactly clear what symptoms are directly associated with the toxic oil syndrome as these symptoms were rather diverse.

 

"Dilution" effect in epidemiology and statistics

Exposure to DU could very patchy where soldiers are concerned. It is possible that only some of the soldiers in an area would be exposed. If soldiers have died of cancer, it is not immediately clear how many of them were actually exposed to DU even if they were in the vicinity where others were exposed. In the follow-up of such a mixed group the effect can diluted by the people that actually have not been exposed.

This kind of dilution effect is a problem that often arises when measurements are done in a group. People who were nearby, but not actually exposed, lead an underestimation of the result.  This allows others to say: well, a few problems but not enough for action to be taken. Dr. Baverstock thinks that epidemiology often falls into this trap. It has often been convenient to look at a larger group than just the exposed and hence miss an important health effect. So, in examining groups one has to be very careful to select only those people who actually have been exposed.

The same problems with patchy exposure applies to a realistic environmental measurement, it has to be clear were the exposure is.

 

Laboratory conditions

Urine measurements on DU have to be really made under laboratory conditions. If urine samples are taken in an environment which is contaminated with uranium one will get high values in the samples, just from external contamination. In the Iraq situation, it will be very difficult to take realistic, biological samples. Depleted uranium would be found in the environment, therefore it is not really feasible to test in Iraq right now.

 

Credibility and stress

If a message of concern is raised, the message has to be true. People become unnecessarily stressed if they believe they are living in a highly contaminated environment if indeed they are not. Their lives become very difficult. From the public health point of view that is damaging.

 

The prevailing economical argument

Compensation is expensive

To be compensated for something, one usually has to show that there has been an exposure which has caused symptoms. It is not enough to say that there has been an exposure.

In the case of soldiers who come into contact with DU in cleaning up operations, the hazards are extremely high and compensation would be expensive. Compensation could be a factor driving the military authorities away from using DU. But also to completely discard equipment such as tanks and everything that was in them is also a very expensive way of conducting business.  There is the public concern and the concern of the soldiers themselves but the economic factors, rather than the humanitarian views, would seem to be more likely to influence the military authorities over the use of DU.

Compensation of Pacific veterans

In the case of American veterans involved in nuclear testing in the Pacific, there is a list of thirteen cancers. If veterans have one of these thirteen cancers, and they have been in that area where weapons were detonated, then they are compensated, whether that cancer was actually caused by the radiation or not. The veterans are deemed to be in a compensatable position.

 

Possible action

Ask the right questions

A basic question for Dr. Baverstock is: what are we looking for proof of? Are we looking for proof that there is an effect, or are we looking for proof that there is not an effect? Because these are two completely different questions. Lawyers and politicians have to be very clear about this. He thinks that in the case of DU compensation, there is a kind of precedent that can be exploited by lawyers and politicians.

 

Precautionary p rinciple and a ban

If a risk is suspected, or there is reasonable suspicion that there might be a risk, one is also supposed to apply the precautionary principle.

In the case of uranium weapons Dr. Baverstock believes that the precautionary principle would require cleaning up battlefields quickly after the battle, before the material spreads. The Geneva Convention states that civilians should not be at any health risk as a result of things left over from the battle. He believes that  the Convention ought to include DU.

When the military are working to clean up they take full precautions. When the US military clean up a tank, full protective clothing for the skin and a breathing apparatus to prevent inhalation of the material is used. This is not required of the public living in the region where this material is deposited.

According to Dr. Baverstock a precautionary approach is definitely needed, but very costly. Actually abandoning DU would be a better solution. Costs are a realistic argument for a ban, and a ban may well be what will happen.

 

Independent research

Out of a lot of issues mentioned, Dr. Baverstock liked the suggestion that the Socialist Party in the Netherlands might take up some kind of investigation on an independent basis. There is a fear that if one approaches two scientists and asks them the same question, this will result in two different answers. That is solved when these people are brought together in the same room and discuss the issue with one another. When Dr. Baverstock, for example, is put in the same room as people from the IAEA and the ICRP, he would ask why they do not use the actual data on chemical toxicity. They would have to give a very good reason which would ultimately be made public.

 

Empowering the military unions

Dr. Baverstock thinks the military union is absolutely right to be concerned. He supposes that the union could negotiate, if not insist, on having proper measurements taken to protect military personel where they may be exposed to DU.